Nifty - 20 Jun 2014 - Critical EOW is here

Nifty continues to trade lower, but holding key supports, is poised critically at EOW.

As discussed yesterday, the Nifty remained "Volatile yet Bullish" during the trading session yesterday. Riding on positive global cues, the Nifty opened with a positive gap up of 22 points at 7580 and traded bullish in the first hour of trade, managing to hold in the green and even crossing the 7600 levels. However, the Nifty could not breach the resistance levels at 7620 and retreated from 7606 itself. Once the down move started, within 40 minutes, the Nifty plummetted from 7580 to 7503, kissing our identified support range. The Nifty found support there and went up to 7565 before closing at 7541 with a loss of 18 points over the previous close. We took a trade on the long side and could book out with a profit of 45 points on that trade.

1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power reduces from +139 to +80 Bear Power rises from -8 to -24 indicating that the Bears are gaining strength at the cost of the Bulls now. For today, the Bulls need to overcome the levels of 7610 to maintain their upwards momentum whereas the Bears need to breach the levels of 7500 to maintain their downwards momentum.

2) The stochastics are just below the overbought zone and are pointing downwards.

3) The Nifty has closed below its 8EMA(7561) but is above its 13EMA and 21EMA and also above all its key DMAs which are rising consistently.

 

4) In the above chart, the volumes have decreased with the fall in the Nifty indicating that the fall may get arrested. The MACD continues with its Sell signal with the histogram growing in the negative. The ADX is suggesting a dropping Bullish momentum, but still favors the Bulls. The Parabolic SAR continues with its Buy signal with the SL now brought up to 7388.

5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under.

a) Around 7605 we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 7625 and a target of 7480. We will add to these short positions only below 7450.

b) Around 7475 we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 7450 and a target of 7595. We will add to these long positions only above 7625.

Happy Trading !!!

Buy calls on AIL COLPAL DBREALTY RUSHIL & NAHARSPING hit their targets on 19 Jun 2014

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